Mon 01/28/2013
.@billbarnwell (GD) looks at the best and craziest Super Bowl prop bets. Various bets if it’s a close gm, you think 49ers will win big, or you think Ravens will win big. Also, props w huge odds (will there be safety?), some that say you have a problem, bets about @Kaepernick7, and even a few for people who don’t like the Super Bowl but will watch anyway. Link
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Tags: Baltimore Ravens, San Francisco 49ers |
11:34 am |
.@CDCarter13 (SJ) examines how much de-emphasis on read option will effect cam Newton’s Fantasy Football value. Last year, tm/media claimed it was de-emphasized as Cam got hot towards end of season, but stats don’t bear it out. This offseason, new OC Mike Shula singing same tune, which is worrisome. 20 of 22 of his career rushing TDs on designed run plays. Link
| 12:30 pm |
.@danpompei (NFP) reviews AFC North 2013 offseasons. Most improved: Bengals. Biggest vet move: Ravens (Elvis Dumervil). Best draft addition: Steelers (Jarvis Jones). Under the radar: Browns (Jason Campbell & Brian Hoyer). Link
| 12:10 pm |
.@PFF_Neil hopes the Cardinals give 2nd CB position to Antoine Cason because of upside. Jerraud Powers gets edge in having played both sides (2nd CB will be flipping because Patrick Peterson often covers best wR) and has a more team friendly contract. However, while their down years have been similar, Cason has at least shown seasons/flashes of better than average. Link
| 11:50 am |
.@billbarnwell (GD) says hot NFL teams down the stretch don’t fare statistically any better the following year when compared to other teams with a similar amount of wins. Regression to 8-8 a more powerful factor than any momentum or having “put it together.” In fact, hot streak might make team think more highly of self, overspend in FA. Redskins & Bengals shouldn’t be discouraged but temper expectations. Link
| 11:33 am |
.@CaptainComeback (BR) looks at where Giants can improve in 2013. 2012 saw big wins (Packers, 49ers 2 of their 4 +25 point wins) combined w bad losses (Bengals, Falcons, Ravens). Eli Manning has stellar record of 4Q wins and in games where other team held under 20 pts. But, too often in 2012, games were out of hand too early. Pass rush overly dependent on Jason Pierre-Paul’s health. Need to keep on/off switch “on” more often to keep them in more games. Link
| 9:00 am |
.@TomPelissero (1500 ESPN) says Vikings wanted to draft MLB but supply didn’t meet demand, so they still have work to do. Alec Ogletree, Kevin Minter, Manti Te’o all had shortcomings that dropped them below their first three picks on their board. Erin Henderson best in house option but not ideal. Free Agent like Desmond Bishop an option. It’s clear they still want to upgrade. Link
| 8:30 am |
.@BrendanLeister (@DraftBrowns) breaks down film on Browns RB Trent Richardson’s mistakes during rookie season. By PFF standards, he had 3 good games, 9 avg, 3 bad. Often displayed poor vision, hesitance, or played slower than NFL level. Trouble following blocks or designed holes. Talent there but needs to match it w mental game. Link
| 8:00 am |
.@fbgchase (FP) takes apart Mike Lombardi’s “Rule of 50,” aka 50 pass completions + rushes likely lead to victory, implying that is the victory that creates the stats, not vice versa. For example, simply rushing 30 times seen in even more percentage of victory. So are knee downs in the second half and a handful of other game stats that come with having a lead. Link
| 7:30 am |
.@Cianaf (PSR) applies his pass rush film study to Aldon Smith to see if he was creating his sacks or simply the beneficiary of the players around him. Showed great power in bull rush combined with reach, swim moves, rip. Tools there but need refinement. But, didn’t beat any truly great linemen, 7 of his sacks came without a block, rarely off double teams. To become elite pass rusher once he is main focus, must develop better technique to go with impressive physicality. Link
| 7:00 am |
.@walterfootball previews 49ers 2013 season. On O, all still revolves around grading run O Line. On D, pass rush masks weak secondary; ILBs heart and soul of unit. LBs, coaching get 5 stars; secondary 2. Can Jim Harbaugh keep Colin Kaepernick from a Sophomore slump? Link
| 1:15 pm |
