Does Preseason Strength of Schedule Matter?
.@fbgchase (FP) looks at if preseason strength of schedule matters before we see how teams actually turn out. Using SOS based on last yr’s records, adjusting those for regression, or using the FP Simple Rating System all have statistically insignificant correlation coefficients to team’s true SOS the next yr. Broncos case in point as were supposed to have one of hardest schedules but had 4th easiest. Link
Farewell for now from Hot Reads
We hope you are enjoying a great draft season. It’s looking like quite the deep class.
As you have probably noticed, our posts stopped around playoff time. Because of other endeavors, we were unable to continue devoting the time to finding great NFL writing at the scope and quality our readers had come to expect. So, for now, we bid you farewell and thanks for all of the support.
Peter King Behind the Scenes of NFL Officiating Part 3
.@SI_PeterKing (MMQB) gives part three of his behind the scenes look at the lives of NFL officials. Looks at pregame rituals. Link
Mike Tanier Week 14 Game Riffs
.@MikeTanier (SOE) w his wk14 Game Riffs. Says wk14 will provide a lot of clarity for playoff races, home field advantage, and quarterback futures. Link
Pro Football Focus Week 14 Three To Focus On
PFF has 3 key matchups to focus on for every week 14 NFL game. Link
NFL Week 13 Game Scripts
.@fbgchase (FP) provides the wk13 Game Scripts. 6 teams won with negative Game Scripts. Link
Houston Texans Will Turn It Around More Quickly Than You Think
.@billbarnwell (GD) writes that the Texans will turn it around quicker than you think. The potential number one pick, regression to the mean, turnover luck adjusting, injury issues point the arrow up. Link
Cam Newton Could Take Next Step By Emulating Drew Brees
.@Andy_Benoit (MMQB) says Cam Newton could take another step by emulating Drew Brees’s pocket presence & precision accuracy. Link
Advanced NFL Stats Week 14 Game Probabilities
.@Adv_NFL_Stats (for NYT) w the wk14 Game Probabilities. Redskins over Chiefs?! Link
Advanced NFL Stats Podcast: Pete Palmer
The @Adv_NFL_Stats podcast has Pete Palmer(Hidden game of Football) on to discuss expected points, win percentages, his work with Patriots, and his book. Pod
NFL’s Mystery Quarterbacks
.@MikeTanier (SOE) scouts the NFL’s mystery QBs: Case Keenum, Brian Hoyer, Scott Tolzien, Matt McGloin, Thad Lewis, Kellen Clemons, Matt Flynn. Link